Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-26 0.028814 0.031046 0.033379 0.036005 0.038880 0.041937 0.045438
2025-02-02 0.025504 0.028721 0.032267 0.036478 0.041360 0.046864 0.053565
2025-02-09 0.022833 0.026563 0.030836 0.036123 0.042525 0.050076 0.059727
2025-02-16 0.020942 0.025006 0.029811 0.035956 0.043672 0.053123 0.065711
2025-02-23 0.019381 0.023653 0.028838 0.035660 0.044494 0.055680 0.071124
2025-03-02 0.018208 0.022653 0.028177 0.035631 0.045556 0.058505 0.076990
2025-03-09 0.017009 0.021517 0.027233 0.035120 0.045883 0.060306 0.081520
2025-03-16 0.015894 0.020406 0.026233 0.034432 0.045875 0.061584 0.085336
2025-03-23 0.015043 0.019584 0.025548 0.034102 0.046295 0.063431 0.090040
2025-03-30 0.014284 0.018837 0.024913 0.033779 0.046672 0.065198 0.094705
2025-04-06 0.013484 0.017987 0.024082 0.033117 0.046495 0.066107 0.098081
2025-04-13 0.013089 0.017674 0.023973 0.033470 0.047808 0.069290 0.105212
2025-04-20 0.012585 0.017187 0.023598 0.033421 0.048522 0.071620 0.111199
2025-04-27 0.012254 0.016928 0.023536 0.033824 0.049944 0.075134 0.119411
2025-05-04 0.011737 0.016375 0.023012 0.033493 0.050185 0.076764 0.124539
2025-05-11 0.011307 0.015928 0.022622 0.033340 0.050687 0.078829 0.130562
2025-05-18 0.010876 0.015461 0.022176 0.033069 0.050971 0.080532 0.136054
2025-05-25 0.010537 0.015115 0.021897 0.033042 0.051646 0.082923 0.142973
2025-06-01 0.010111 0.014618 0.021363 0.032575 0.051548 0.083960 0.147423
2025-06-08 0.009672 0.014085 0.020750 0.031946 0.051134 0.084403 0.150751
2025-06-15 0.009336 0.013698 0.020348 0.031644 0.051260 0.085808 0.156057
2025-06-22 0.009020 0.013331 0.019963 0.031349 0.051377 0.087192 0.161417
2025-06-29 0.008654 0.012871 0.019410 0.030743 0.050905 0.087450 0.164483